December 10 Racing Selections
Tips for this weekend cover the December 10 meetings at Flemington, Rosehill, Doomben and Morphettville.
Results for December 3 meetings
Invalid tips (due to scratchings and/ or track ratings that were outside the prescribed range)
Scratched – Caulfield – Under The Hat
Tips where the SP was $5.50 or less
Eagle Farm – Catapulted ($5.00 SP) – second
December 3 Results: One selection, no winners
Overall Results: 105 selections, 19 winners, SP return of $70.25, SP POT = -33%, Luxbet BOB return of $81.80, BOB POT = -22%
Tips where the SP was $6 or greater
Caulfield – Zeftabaa ($6.50 SP) – unplaced
Rosehill – Fibrillation ($13.00) – unplaced
December 3 Results: Two selections, no winners
Overall Results: 108 selections, 11 winners, SP return of $92.50, SP POT = -14%, Luxbet BOB return of $106.40, BOB POT = -1%
All tips
Overall Results: 213 selections, 30 winners, SP return of $162.75, SP POT = -24%, Luxbet BOB return of $188.20, BOB POT = -12%
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Rules (as per January 29 introductory column)
(1) A ‘track rating range’ for which the tip will be considered valid will accompany selections.
(2) Results refer to a win-only bet at the bookmakers’ starting price (SP) or Luxbet’s ‘Best of Best’ (BOB) price divided into two groups– those where the SP is $5.50 or less (which are NOT recommended bets), and those where the SP is $6 or greater (which constitute recommended bets).
Saturday December 10
Flemington (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 7 No. 3 At The Heads
I like him resuming in restricted grade here after finishing unplaced behind subsequent Group-level winners Woorim and Testa My Patience in his two runs early in the spring. Prior to that, his form in these RB89 races (when carrying more weight than he will this time) was pretty solid. He has two wins and a second from six starts at the trip and with blinkers on for the first time should race handy to the pace, which will be an advantage in a race where the tempo is likely to be moderate.
Rosehill (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)
Race 8 No. 7 Leichtenstein
The narrowest of runners-up when resuming at Canterbury a fortnight ago, he looks well placed to go one better this time around. Don’t let his record at the 1200 metres (zero wins but seven placings from nine starts) dissuade you – among those placings was a second three starts back to the very promising Scarf on rain-affected going. He has a win and two seconds from only three second-up runs and from the inside barrier and with only 53 kilos after the claim, he should have every chance in running.
Doomben (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)
Race 7 No. 8 Excellantes
Nine runners from the Listed Keith Noud Handicap a fortnight ago return for this race and I think Excelleantes (beaten in a photo by Listen Son – bless his cotton socks) can go one better in this race. He meets Listen Son 1.5 kilos better for that run, gets a better barrier (number six, as opposed to 11 last start) and importantly can handle the sting out of the ground. Of those he didn’t beat last start he also has wins over Startsmeup and Adebisi. His track (two wins and two seconds from four runs) and distance (three wins and four placings from eight runs) records are excellent, and he can either sit on the speed if it is moderate or take the nice trail if it is more genuine. He simply ticks all the right boxes.
Morphettville (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 4 No. 5 Tabulated
A mare that seems to have found her niche around the mile mark, she is gunning for four wins on end after a win at Gawler was followed up by two at Morphettville Parks. The latest two wins saw her defeat two of her opponents here (Ocsmepop and Fast Frank), while the form line through Conduction sees her well placed against top weight Generous Beau. Importantly she can roll forward, a very handy asset in a race where she and Fast Frank appear to be the only likely leaders. Mares tend to hold their form once they find it, and I see no reason to jump off at this point.
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Thanks to Matt King/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo
