January 7 Racing Selections
We’re back for 2012! Exciting times. Tips for this weekend cover the January 7 meetings at Caulfield, Warwick Farm and Morphettville.
Final report card for 2011 and revised rules for 2012 tips
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Saturday January 7
Caulfield (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 6 No. 10 Josimar
In July last year he had his only two runs over the 1400 metres at Caulfield – the first one resulted in a win (with Cellarmaster 2nd and Ben Zena 4th), while a fortnight later he ran second to Massoni (Cellarmaster finishing 9th). He meets those 2 gallopers reasonably at the weights this time around. Don’t be put off by mediocre looking efforts so far this prep – over his career he has only 2 placings from 8 runs first or second up, but 3 wins and 4 placings from 11 runs later in his campaigns. Drops 4 kilos in weight from his second up effort as well, which can only aid his chances.
Race 7 No. 7 Miss Matari
Granted, she has only won a single race from 18 starts, a stat that would normally put me off very quickly. Nonetheless, her last two efforts at this track and distance (where she has a win and 3 placings from 6 starts overall) have been very sound and she gets a lovely weight drop here to 52.5 kilos after the claim. From barrier 6 she can roll forward in a race with uncertain speed and take some catching.
Warwick Farm (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 5 No. 10 Bag Of Nickels
She looks a progressive staying mare in the making, with 2 wins and 2 second placings from just 5 career starts to date. Last preparation she jumped straight from a 1400-metre Maiden win to an 1800-metre BM 70 race (while still a 3YO) and ran a very respectable second to Titbit. Now a 4YO mare, she kicked off her summer campaign with a strong win over 1500 metres in a BM70 race, so the step up to 1600 metres and BM75 company should be very manageable by comparison. Trainer David Vandyke can find a good one in his small stable (such as Group winner Lamasery) and this mare could prove one to follow.
Morphettville (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 5 No. 3 Montjeu Madame
A genuine staying mare who finally gets out to her preferred trip (2 wins and a placing from just 4 starts) at her fifth start this preparation. She meets likely favourite Ocsmepop 1.5 kilos better at the weights for trailing his by less than a length on Boxing Day (when hampered for clear running in the straight) and the increase in trip is likely to benefit her more than it does him.
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