Racing’s 2014 Kiss of Death – February 1

This week’s selections cover the February 1 meetings at Caulfield and Rosehill.

Results for January 24 and 25 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – Holy Delusions, Kilwinning Option

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Tronador

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Moonee Valley – Hai Lil ($6.50 SP) – second

Caulfield – Heisman ($7.50) – unplaced

Randwick – I’m Imposing ($6.00) – unplaced

Eagle Farm – Harada Bay ($6.00) – unplaced

Morphettville Parks – Stravinsky Code ($6.00) – unplaced

Morphettville Parks – Onya Keithy ($6.00) – unplaced

January 24 and 25 results:  6 selections, 6 units bet, no winners, 1 placing

2014:  12 selections, 12 units bet, 1 winner, 1 placing, SP return of 9.00 units, BOB return of 9.00 units

2011-2014:  232 selections, 232 units bet, 30 winners, 64 placings, SP return of 230.00 units (-1% PoT), BOB return of 253.70 units (9% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Caulfield – Borsay ($14.00 SP, $15.20 BOB) – Won

January 24 and 25 results:  1 selection, 0.5 units bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 7.00 units, BOB return of 7.60 units

2014:  6 selections, 3 units bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 7.00 units, BOB return of 7.60 units

2011-2014:  124 selections, 62 units bet, 10 winners, 12 placings, SP return of 59.00 units (-5% PoT), BOB return of 67.90 units (10% PoT)

Overall Results

January 24 and 25 results:  7 selections, 6.5 units bet, 1 winner, 1 placing, SP return of 7.00 units, BOB return of 7.60 units

2014:  18 selections, 15 units bet, 2 winner2, 1 placing, SP return of 16.00 units, BOB return of 16.60 units

2011-2014: 356 selections, 294 units bet, 40 winners, 76 placings, SP return of 289.00 units (-2% PoT), BOB return of 321.60 units (9% PoT)

Saturday February 1

Caulfield (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 2 No. 2 Reparations

His two runs back (both at Listed level) have been very sound for a BM90 race, only goes up in weight by 1 kilo after the claim whilst dropping significantly in grade, tends to perform better after a couple of runs (10 starts for 2-0-1 first and second-up, 10 starts for 5-0-0 thereafter), 3 starts at the track/ trip for 1-0-1 plus a fourth-placing in a Listed race.

Race 5 No. 6 Five All

Best of the run-on horses last start when third to Flying Hostess at her first go over a mile, subtract her race debut and she’s had 8 career starts for 3-4-1, drops to 51 kilos here (3 under the limit) after the claim.

Race 7 No. 6 Shamal Wind

2 wins from as many races over 1000 metres, 3 wins from as many races first-up, her last 3 runs last prep were a second to Spirit Of Boom in a Group 2, sixth (beaten only 2.8 lengths) in a Group 2 and second in a Group 3. Drops back to Listed level here, and speed should be strong enough to settle near the back from the wide barrier and charge late.

Race 8 No. 8 He’s Your Man

His best European form was all beyond the 2000-metre range, so his 2 efforts in Australia to date over 1400 and 1700 metres were sound for this (meets Prince of Penzance 3 kilos better for their last meeting), blinkers go on to assist with his turn of foot.

Rosehill (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 8 No. 12 Reply Churlish

Has come of age this prep with 4 wins from as many starts, drops back from 1800 to 1500 metres here but comes off a 4-week freshen to do so, from gate 2 should have an easy time rolling to the front, could dictate the speed of the race and prove hard to catch.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo