Racing’s Kiss of Death – August 24
This week’s selections cover the August 24 meetings at Moonee Valley, Warwick Farm (featuring the Group 2 Warwick Stakes) and Eagle Farm.
Results for August 17 selections
Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price
Scratched – Petite Diablesse
Track outside prescribed range – Imoto, Ajeeb
Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – nil
Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)
Rosehill – Punch Your Weight ($7.00 SP) – unplaced
Doomben – Mishani Warrior ($7.00 SP, $8.20 BOB) – Won
August 17 results: 2 selections, 2 units bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 7.00 units, BOB return of 8.20 units
2013 results: 55 selections, 55 units bet, 11 winners, 16 placings, SP return of 82.50 units (50% PoT), BOB return of 93.10 units (69% PoT)
2011-2013 results: 192 selections, 192 units bet, 26 winners, 56 placings, SP return of 196.50 units (2% PoT), BOB return of 220.00 units (15% PoT)
Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)
Nil
August 17 results: no selections
2013 results: 29 selections, 14.5 units bet, 4 winners (1 dead heat), 2 placings, SP return of 24.00 units (66% PoT), BOB return of 27.75 units (91% PoT)
2011-2013 results: 98 selections, 49 units bet, 8 winners, 10 placings, SP return of 46.00 units (-6% PoT), BOB return of 53.90 units (10% PoT)
Overall Results
August 17 results: 2 selections, 2 units bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 7.00 units, BOB return of 8.20 units
2013: 84 selections, 69.5 units bet, 15 winners (1 dead heat), 18 placings, SP return of 106.50 units (53% PoT), BOB return of 120.85 units (74% PoT)
2011-2013: 290 selections, 241 units bet, 34 winners, 66 placings, SP return of 242.50 units (1% PoT), BOB return of 273.90 units (14% PoT)
Saturday August 24
Moonee Valley (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 3 No. 2 Adebisi
- The SWP nature of this race gets him in really well at the weights, forgive his last run when lumping 60.5 kilos, won at Group 3 level at Caulfield in February and then was beaten by only 2 lengths in the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate – those efforts would win this.
Race 5 No. 14 Petite Diablesse
- Won her only previous run at this trip earlier in the year, went on to be narrowly beaten at Group 3 level over 1400 metres, still sitting on the limit weight (54 kilos) for an easier race than the one she was scratched from last week, drawn well.
Race 7 No. 1 Clang And Bang
- Improves with racing (10 starts for 1-0-2 first and second-up, 30 starts for 8-6-4 thereafter), 2 starts at the track for 1-1-0, 5 starts at the trip for 2-1-1 (including a win here), last start winner who can go on with it.
Warwick Farm (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 3 No. 4 Hidden Kisses
- Big race fitness and weight advantage over the favourite Royal Descent, won last start on a slow track and is likely to get her preferred drier racing surface here.
Eagle Farm (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 2 No. 3 Balkuin
- 10 career starts for 5-2-1, 6 starts at the trip for 3-2-0, should go forward in a small field from barrier 5, won a trial in preparation for this.
Race 7 No. 3 Tokamak
- Races bets on fairly dry surfaces (15 starts for 7-4-1 on good or dead, 9 starts for 2-2-0 on slow or heavy), 6 starts at the track for 4-2-0, 7 starts at the distance for 3-2-1, coming off an 8-week break but generally races well fresh (8 starts for 4-2-0 when first or second-up), winter form through Someday and Fire Up Fifi reds very well for this.
Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo
