Racing’s Kiss of Death – July 26

This week’s selections cover the July 27 meetings at Caulfield, Randwick, Doomben and Morphettville.

Results for July 20 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – Gundy Son

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Bia Diamond

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Nil

July 20 results:   no selections, no units bet, no winners, no placings

2013 results:  48 selections, 48 units bet, 10 winners, 14 placings, SP return of 75.50 units (57% PoT), BOB return of 84.90 units (77% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 185 selections, 185 units bet, 25 winners, 54 placings, SP return of 189.50 units (2% PoT), BOB return of 211.80 units (14% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Flemington – Exceptionally ($12.00 SP) – unplaced

July 20 results:   1 selection, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings

2013 results: 25 selections, 12.5 units bet, 4 winners (1 dead heat), 2 placings, SP return of 24.00 units (92% PoT), BOB return of 27.75 units (122% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 94 selections, 47 units bet, 8 winners, 10 placings, SP return of 46.00 units (-2% PoT), BOB return of 53.90 units (15% PoT)

Overall Results

July 13 results:   1 selection, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings

2013:  73 selections, 60.5 units bet, 14 winners (1 dead heat), 16 placings, SP return of 99.50 units (64% PoT), BOB return of 112.65 units (86% PoT)

2011-2013: 279 selections, 232 units bet, 33 winners, 64 placings, SP return of 235.50 units (2% PoT), BOB return of 265.70 units (15% PoT)

Saturday July 27

Caulfield (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 5 No. 8 She Goes To Rio  

  • Her best form comes when fresh (6 starts for 3-1-1 when first or second-up, 5 starts for 0-1-0 thereafter) or when kept to distances of less than 1400 metres (7 starts for 4-2-1 in those scenarios), last fresh effort was a third to Miss Stellabelle at Listed level, 3 starts for 2-1-0 at the trip.

Race 8 No. 13 Clang And Bang

  • Improves significantly with race fitness (10 starts for 1-0-2 when first or second-up, 28 starts for 7-6-4 thereafter), worked home nicely late when seventh to Offenders when second-up, drawn well to race handier to the speed this time.

Randwick (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 6 No. 8 My Destiny

  • Excellent return off an 18-month layoff when third to Master Harry, has improved in his second-up run in each of his previous preparations, won his only previous start at Randwick, before his long break won at Listed level beating Ready To Rip.

Doomben (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 5 No. 9 Pure Purrfection

  • Drew widely and settled well back when resuming so that ran can be forgiven, 9 starts for 4-2-0 at the distance, last preparation ran second to Delago Bolt and then to Funtantes at this track in better quality sprint races than this.

Morphettville (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 6 No. 4 Perfect Punch

  • Should improve significantly now third-up from a spell (8 starts for 0-1-2 when first or second-up, 6 starts for 3-0-1 thereafter), won his only previous run at the track/ trip, all previous wins have come over 1500 to 1800 metres so the step up to the mile will be ideal, drawn well.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo

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