Racing’s Kiss of Death – July 6

This week’s selections cover the July 6 meetings at Flemington and Rosehill.

Results for June 29 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Imoto, Gig

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Sunshine Coast – Belltone ($9.50 SP) – unplaced

Sunshine Coast – High Kin ($7.00) – unplaced

June 29 results:   2 selections, 2 units bet, no winners, 1 placing

2013 results:  47 selections, 47 units bet, 9 winners, 14 placings, SP return of 67.50 units (44% PoT), BOB return of 75.90 units (61% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 184 selections, 184 units bet, 24 winners, 54 placings, SP return of 181.50 units (-1% PoT), BOB return of 202.80 units (10% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Moonee Valley – Clear For Action ($11.00 SP) – unplaced

June 29 results:   1 selection, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings

2013 results: 23 selections, 11.5 units bet, 4 winners (1 dead heat), 2 placings, SP return of 24.00 units (109% PoT), BOB return of 27.75 units (141% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 92 selections, 46 units bet, 8 winners, 10 placings, SP return of 46.00 units (0% PoT), BOB return of 53.90 units (17% PoT)

Overall Results

June 29:  3 selections, 1.5 units bet, no winners, 1 placing

2013:  70 selections, 58.5 units bet, 13 winners (1 dead heat), 16 placings, SP return of 91.50 units (56% PoT), BOB return of 103.65 units (77% PoT)

2011-2013: 276 selections, 230 units bet, 32 winners, 64 placings, SP return of 227.50 units (-1% PoT), BOB return of 256.70 units (12% PoT)

Saturday July 6

Flemington (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 6 No. 2 Glaneuse

• Forgive his last start effort when carrying 61.5 kilos on a heavy track, 2 starts ago he finished only 2.1 lengths behind Another Prelate over 1400 metres (meets that galloper a kilo better), his best runs come over 1600 metres (8 starts for 4-1-1, compared to 32 starts for 7-4-1 at all other trips), won this race last year with 1.5 kilos more than he carries this time.

Rosehill (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 5 No. 6 Under The Sun

• Back to his bets form last start, 11 starts in Sydney over the 1300-1500 metre distance range for 5-5-0, can potentially lead/ race handy from barrier 1 on a very moderate tempo.

Race 7 No. 9 Whitlam

• Turned the corner last prep after transferring to Kris Lees’ stable,  Rosehill is his best track (4 starts for 2-1-0) and 1100 metres is his best distance (5 starts for 2-1-0, including wins at both of his previous runs at the track/ trip), last time he ran first-up he beat Sessions when conceding that galloper 2.5 kilos which gives him very strong form through the likely favourite Velrosso.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo