Racing’s 2014 Kiss of Death – February 15

This week’s selections cover the February 15 meetings at Flemington, Rosehill and Morphettville.

Results for February 8 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Target In Sight

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Caulfield – A Time For Julia ($6.00 SP, $6.00 BOB) – Won

Eagle Farm – The Ringmaster ($7.00) – unplaced

February 8 results:  2 selections, 2 units bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 6.00 units, BOB return of 6.00 units

2014:  15 selections, 15 units bet, 2 winners, 1 placing, SP return of 15.00 units, BOB return of 15.00 units

2011-2014:  235 selections, 235 units bet, 31 winners, 64 placings, SP return of 236.00 units (0% PoT), BOB return of 259.70 units (11% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Radnwick – Howmuchdoyouloveme ($15.00 SP) – unplaced

February 1 results:  1 selection, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  8 selections, 4 units bet, 2 winners, no placings, SP return of 12.00 units, BOB return of 13.60 units

2011-2014:  126 selections, 63 units bet, 11 winners, 12 placings, SP return of 64.00 units (2% PoT), BOB return of 73.90 units (17% PoT)

Overall Results

February 8: 3 selections, 2.5 units bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 6.00 units, BOB return of 6.00 units

2014:  23 selections, 19 units bet, 4 winners, 1 placing, SP return of 27.00 units (42% PoT), BOB return of 28.60 units (51% PoT)

2011-2014: 361 selections, 298 units bet, 42 winners, 76 placings, SP return of 300.00 units (1% PoT), BOB return of 333.60 units (12% PoT)

Saturday February 8

Flemington (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 4 No. 8 Tackleberry

His first-up run was excellent when second to Solsay, 4 second-up runs to date for 3-1-0 (the loss was in a photo to Hai Lil), gets in 1.5 kilos under the limit after the claim, gate 14 no problem in a race down the straight.

Race 8 No. 2 Club Command

His two runs the other way of going (up in Queensland) were both sound, 15 career starts for 6-4-4 and a 4th placing, 9 starts at the trip for 4-1-4, 4 starts at the track/ trip for 2-1-1, beaten less than a length by Speediness at Listed level over this trip 5 starts ago.

Rosehill (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 6 No. 2 Steps In Time

Her preferred distance is definitely 1200 metres (7 starts for 4-1-1 at this trip, 16 starts for 4-0-1 at all other trips),won this very race 2 years in a row beating Red Tracer on both occasions, 2 solid trials leading into this first-up tilt.

Race 8 No. 1 Dee’n’gee  

The form lines this prep to date through Dances On Stars and Emblems at Listed level look excellent for a BM85 race, didn’t win last prep but was placed behind Velrosso and subsequently Boban (giving weight  to each of them), drawn gate 1 so should have an easy time getting into a spot handy to the lead.

Morphettville (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 6 No. 1 Esprit De Bullet

Lumped with 61 kilos here but has already won this prep with 59 kilos at Moonee Valley and 60 kilos at Flemington, 10 starts at the trip for 5-0-1, drops back significantly in grade from his last run at Listed level, strong speed is likely which will suit his run-on style.

Race 7 No. 7 Chieftain Jack

Putting a form line through Caton’s last 4 runs (beaten twice by Differing Fortunes and once by Chieftain Jack) suggests that he’s well in at the weights with a 2-kilo advantage over Differing Fortunes, won his last 2 starts in the 1950-2050 metre range, 19 starts for 5-7-3 in his career nce you subtract first-up efforts.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo