Racing’s 2014 Kiss of Death – February 8
This week’s selections cover the February 8 meetings at Caulfield, Randwick and Eagle Farm.
Results for February 1 selections
Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price
Scratched – nil
Track outside prescribed range – nil
Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Five All, He’s Your Man, Reply Churlish
Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)
Caulfield – Reparations ($9.50 SP) – unplaced
February 1 results: 1 selection, 1 unit bet, no winners, no placings
2014: 13 selections, 13 units bet, 1 winner, 1 placing, SP return of 9.00 units, BOB return of 9.00 units
2011-2014: 233 selections, 233 units bet, 30 winners, 64 placings, SP return of 230.00 units (-1% PoT), BOB return of 253.70 units (9% PoT)
Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)
Caulfield – Shamal Wind ($10.00 SP, $12.00 BOB) – Won
February 1 results: 1 selection, 0.5 units bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 5.00 units, BOB return of 6.00 units
2014: 7 selections, 3.5 units bet, 2 winners, no placings, SP return of 12.00 units, BOB return of 13.60 units
2011-2014: 125 selections, 62.5 units bet, 11 winners, 12 placings, SP return of 64.00 units (2% PoT), BOB return of 73.90 units (18% PoT)
Overall Results
February 1: 2 selections, 1.5 units bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 5.00 units, BOB return of 6.00 units
2014: 20 selections, 16.5 units bet, 3 winners, 1 placing, SP return of 21.00 units, BOB return of 22.60 units
2011-2014: 358 selections, 295.5 units bet, 41 winners, 76 placings, SP return of 294.00 units (-1% PoT), BOB return of 327.60 units (11% PoT)
Saturday February 8
Caulfield (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 9 No. 7 A Time For Julia
Her first-up form is her best form (a win and a second to Octavia at Group 3 level at this track/ trip), 3 starts for 1-1-0 at the trip. She’s drawn to sit handy to the speed in a race where many of the main contenders will be towards the back
Randwick (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 4 No. 8 Target In Sight
Has a career record of 8 starts for 4-3-1 at distances of up to 1200 metres, including 2 starts at the track/ trip for 1-1-0. He’s had a 4-week break since a fast finishing third at the Gold Coast, but races well fresh so this should be fine.
Race 6 No. 5 Howmuchdoyouloveme
The forgotten sprinter in this race. Was very good with 61 kilos first-up in the Canterbury Classic behind Knoydart, and won over this trip with 60 kilos at Group 3 level only 3 starts ago. Can stalk the likely speed set by Rain Affair and give the backmarkers plenty to catch.
Eagle Farm (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 4 No. 6 The Ringmaster
Finally drops back to short course sprints (4 wins from 4 starts at 1000 metres, 19 starts for 2-3-6 at all other trips). Meets Rocky King 1.5 kilos better for beating that galloper home over 900 metres at the Gold Coast last start, and Rocky King’s last start win has franked that form line.
Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo