Racing’s 2014 Kiss of Death – March 15
This week’s selections cover the March 15 meetings at Randwick (featuring the Group 1 Canterbury Stakes and Group 1 Randwick Guineas) and Bendigo.
Results for March 8 selections
Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price
Scratched – nil
Track outside prescribed range – nil
Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – nil
Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)
Flemington – Are There Any ($6.50 SP) – unplaced
Warwick Farm – Fire Up Fifi ($8.00) – unplaced
March 8 results: 2 selections, 2 units bet, no winners, no placings
2014: 25 selections, 25 units bet, 3 winners, 3 placings, SP return of 21.00 units (-16% PoT), BOB return of 21.00 units (-16% PoT)
2011-2014: 245 selections, 245 units bet, 32 winners, 66 placings, SP return of 242.00 units (-1% PoT), BOB return of 265.70 units (8% PoT)
Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)
Flemington – Pago Rock ($16.00 SP) – unplaced
Flemington – Stipulate ($16.00) – unplaced
Warwick Farm – Spurtonic ($18.00) – unplaced
March 8 results: 3 selections, 1.5 units bet, no winners, no placings
2014: 14 selections, 7 units bet, 2 winners, no placings, SP return of 12.00 units (71% PoT), BOB return of 13.60 units (94% PoT)
2011-2014: 132 selections, 66 units bet, 11 winners, 12 placings, SP return of 64.00 units (-3% PoT), BOB return of 73.90 units (12% PoT)
Overall Results
March 8: 5 selections, 3.5 units bet, no winners, no placings
2014: 39 selections, 32 units bet, 5 winners, 3 placings, SP return of 33.00 units (3% PoT), BOB return of 34.60 units (8% PoT)
2011-2014: 377 selections, 311 units bet, 43 winners, 78 placings, SP return of 306.00 units (-2% PoT), BOB return of 339.60 units (9% PoT)
Saturday March 8
Randwick (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)
Race 4 No. 5 Express Power
Improves with racing (7 starts for 1-2-1 first and second-up, 6 starts for 3-1-1 thereafter), two solid runs so far this prep including being beaten less than 2 lengths by Ecuador last start, 2 wins from as many starts over 1600m.
Race 6 No. 2 Aerobatics
Races best fresh (13 starts for 4-1-1 first and second-up, 13 starts for 1-1-1 thereafter), overall record at this trip isn’t great but has won a Listed over 1300m and a Group 3 over 1200m within her last 5 starts, handicap ratings suggest that she’s in nicely at the weights (only 1 kilo above the limit).
Bendigo (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to slow 5)
Race 6 No. 4 Hazard
Improves with racing (10 starts for 2-2-1 first and second-up, 4 starts for 3-1-0 thereafter), her two runs back (third to Knoydart and second to Bonaria) are outstanding from for this race, 12 career starts for 5-3-1 on tracks rated dead or better.
Race 7 No. 6 Bass Strait
Huge drop in grade from a Group 2 WFA race (beaten just over 5 lengths by Fiorente) into this, beaten less than 4 lengths in the Group 1 Toorak Handicap in the spring over this trip, his last start below Group level was an easy win at Caulfield, gets in only 0.5 kilos above the limit weight.
Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo