The 2016 AFL Lines – Round 5

Filed in AFL, AFL Lines by on April 20, 2016

Cliff is getting sick of sides not adhering to trends which have stood the test of the previous four seasons, Greg is delighting in the failures of Collingwood and Essendon – which is poignant as they clash in Round 5…

If you are having difficulty listening using the audio player above click here AFL 2016 Lines R5 TAL_Caricature

Results – Round 4
GO – 3.5 units bet, gross return of 3.82 units, 0.32 units net profit
CB – 4 units bet, gross return of 1.91 units, 2.09 units net loss
Total – 7.5 units bet, gross return of 5.73 units, 1.77 units net loss

Results – 2016 season
GO – 17.5 units bet, gross return of 17.22 units, 0.28 units net loss
CB – 22 units bet, gross return of 19.11 units, 2.89 units net loss
Total – 39.5 units bet, gross return of 36.33 units, 3.17 units net loss

Results – 2011-2016 seasons
GO – 529.5 units bet, gross return of 532.06 units, 2.56 units net profit, 0.5% PoT
CB – 433 units bet, gross return of 436.79 units, 3.79 units net profit, 0.9% PoT
Total – 962.5 units bet, gross return of 968.85 units, 6.35 units net profit, 0.7% PoT

Summary of Round 5 recommendations
GO
1 unit on Sydney -5.5 at $1.88 (William Hill)
1 unit on North Melbourne -12.5 at $1.92 (Luxbet)
1 unit on Geelong -8.5 at $1.92 (Luxbet)
1 unit on over 187.5 total points (St Kilda v GWS) at $1.90 (Luxbet)

CB
1 unit on Sydney -5.5 at $1.88 (William Hill)
1 unit on under 184.5 total points (Port Adelaide v Geelong) at $1.88 (William Hill)
1 unit on under 181.5 total points (Melbourne v Richmond) at $1.88 (William Hill)
1 unit on under 180.5 total points (Collingwood v Essendon) at $1.88 (Sportsbet)

Comments (2)

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  1. TwoMeter Peter says:

    Any chance you guys could do this on a Tuesday night, as with each day passes so does the movement of the odds and the lines? Thanks.

    • Cliff Bingham says:

      Ideally we’d like to go on a Tuesday night (indeed we have this week) but it’s usually a function of what night we can get ourselves organised to sit together and do the podcast – Wed nights tend to be where we can get our respective lives sorted to actually talk footy for 15-20 mins.