Try Line Picks: Grand Final

Filed in Other by on September 29, 2011
Try Line Picks – NRL Grand Final Round Selection
 
Warriors – Line: 5.00 Bet Units: The ratings are skewed nicely to a Warriors side with momentum – after getting dusted in Week 1 they have beaten a rampant Tigers and machine-like Storm in the last 2 weeks, a better preparation could not be had! The Sea Eagles are deserving favourites after rolling past the Cowboys in Week 1 and then beating a Lockyer-less Broncos to make the big one. What we like about the Warriors is their pack/bench and inside own half plays – the Warriors interchange offers so much in the shape of Packer and Matulino, and they are the best dummy-half running team in the comp – especially out of their own red zone. This is where the Sea Eagles can be troubled by the Warriors – last week the Broncos surprisingly lacked the drive in the middle third and played wide, which played at Manly's strengths. This week if the Warriors pack can replicate their game last week against the Storm, plus the impact of strong dummy-half running we still believe the Sea Eagles forwards can be over-powered – the Warriors have enough class in Locke, Johnson and Maloney to get points on the back of a dominant forward pack and field position. Again, the key for the Sea Eagles will be the little half-back Daly Cherry-Evans – this kid is amazing! He has the plays, the defence, the kick, the pass, the chase, the talk, the cool, the patience, and the confidence – Manly can build a premiership force around him and Foran for the many years to come! This will be a very tight affair and the could even come down to a field goal or Golden Point, but we have a real push towards the Warriors getting their 1st premiership – the Warriors at the plus is the play (+5.5 to +6.0)
 
We will have a few plays on the Clive Churchill, these are just our opinion and not formal selections:
 
Clive Churchill Medal: Daly Cherry Evans ($7), Glenn Stewart ($11), Kevin Locke ($15) and Feleti Mateo ($11)  (we will be having 0.10 Bet Units play on each – odds are Sportsbet)
 
Exotic Selection
 
Multi: 1.00 Bet Unit
Warriors Margin 1-12
$4.00 @ Sportsbet
 
TLP Key Stats for Season 2011 – Round Selections only:
– Strike-rate of 57.30%
– Net Profit of 11.74%
– Profit of +44.83 Units 
 
$1000 Betting Bank – Round Selections Only
$1428.82 in the bank for NRL Grand Final 2011
1 Bet Unit (1% of bank) = $14.29
5 Bet Units (5% of bank) = $71.44
42.88% RETURN on STARTING BETTING BANK

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