Racing’s Kiss of Death – July 19

This week’s selections cover the July 20 meetings at Flemington and Eagle Farm.

Results for July 13 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Lionhearted Girl

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Doomben – Mishani Warrior ($8.00 SP, $9.00 BOB) – Won

July 13 results:   1 selections, 1 unit bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 8.00 units, BOB return of 9.00 units

2013 results:  48 selections, 48 units bet, 10 winners, 14 placings, SP return of 75.50 units (57% PoT), BOB return of 84.90 units (77% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 185 selections, 185 units bet, 25 winners, 54 placings, SP return of 189.50 units (2% PoT), BOB return of 211.80 units (14% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Nil

July 13 results:   no selections, no units bet, no winners, no placings

2013 results: 24 selections, 12 units bet, 4 winners (1 dead heat), 2 placings, SP return of 24.00 units (100% PoT), BOB return of 27.75 units (131% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 93 selections, 46.5 units bet, 8 winners, 10 placings, SP return of 46.00 units (-1% PoT), BOB return of 53.90 units (16% PoT)

Overall Results

July 13 results:   1 selections, 1 unit bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 8.00 units, BOB return of 9.00 units

2013:  72 selections, 60 units bet, 14 winners (1 dead heat), 16 placings, SP return of 99.50 units (66% PoT), BOB return of 112.65 units (88% PoT)

2011-2013: 279 selections, 231.5 units bet, 33 winners, 64 placings, SP return of 235.50 units (2% PoT), BOB return of 265.70 units (15% PoT)

Saturday July 20

Flemington (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to slow 7)

Race 6 No. 3 Exceptionally

  • First time she’s been in a 2000+ metre race below stakes grade for some time, ran a narrow third to Folding Gear and Mr O’Ceirin in the Listed Naturalism Stakes (over this distance) when second-up last prep, Flemington is her best track (10 starts for 2-2-1, 27 starts for 2-3-6 elsewhere), only 2.5 kilos over the limit after the claim.

Race 8 No. 7 Bia Diamond

  • Strong run when a narrow second to Koe last start, gets better with racing (6 starts for 0-2-2 first or second-up, 8 starts for 3-5-0 thereafter), drawn nicely in barrier 6, gets in on the 54 kilo limit.

Eagle Farm (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 7 No. 2 Gundy Son

  • Bombed the start badly in the Ramornie Handicap so forgive that run, beat home all of the rivals he meets in this race who ran in the Group 3 Healy Stakes (when fourth to Howmuchdoyouloveme) and the Listed Chief De Beers Handicap (when second to Pentasia), Eagle Farm is his best track (17 starts for 4-2-2 there, 32 starts for 5-7-4 elsewhere)

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo

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