Racing’s Kiss of Death – June 15

This week’s selections cover the June 15 meetings at Moonee Valley, Rosehill and Ipswich.

Results for June 8 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Pago Rock, Kaypers

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Flemington – Ominous Quality ($7.00 SP) – unplaced

Flemington – Rifleman ($9.00) – unplaced

Flemington – By The Way ($7.50) – third

Eagle Farm – Satin Shoes ($7.00) – unplaced

Eagle Farm – Floria ($7.00) – second

Eagle Farm – Honorius ($7.50) – unplaced

Eagle Farm – Precedence ($8.00) – unplaced

June 8 results:   7 selections, 7 units bet, no winners, 3 placings

2013 results:  44 selections, 44 units bet, 9 winners, 12 placings, SP return of 67.50 units (53% PoT), BOB return of 75.90 units (73% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 181 selections, 181 units bet, 24 winners, 52 placings, SP return of 181.50 units (0.3% PoT), BOB return of 202.80 units (12% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Randwick – Embark ($18.00 SP) – unplaced

Eagle Farm – Spirit Of Boom ($13.00) – unplaced

June 8 results:   2 selections, 1 unit bet, no winners, no placings

2013 results: 20 selections, 10 units bet, 4 winners (1 dead heat), 1 placing, SP return of 24.00 units (140% PoT), BOB return of 27.75 units (178% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 89 selections, 44.5 units bet, 8 winners, 9 placings, SP return of 46.00 units (3% PoT), BOB return of 53.90 units (21% PoT)

Overall Results

June 8:  9 selections, 8 units bet, no winners, 3 placings

2013:  64 selections, 54 units bet, 13 winners (1 dead heat), 13 placings, SP return of 91.50 units (69% PoT), BOB return of 103.65 units (92% PoT)

2011-2013: 270 selections, 225.5 units bet, 32 winners, 61 placings, SP return of 227.50 units (1% PoT), BOB return of 256.70 units (14% PoT)

Saturday June 15

Moonee Valley (tips based on a track rating range of slow 6 to heavy 10)

Race 7 No. 5 De Fine Lago

  • His three runs back from a long spell have been excellent, he’s a better horse with racing (10 starts for 1-0-1 first and second-up, 20 starts for 4-7-2 thereafter), 2 starts at the track/ trip for a pair of seconds, five starts ago was placed in a Brisbane Cup.

Race 8 No. 3 Capital Commander

  • First-up form is by far her best (5 starts for 3-1-0, compared to 24 starts for 5-5-2 thereafter), 4 starts on slow/ heavy for 1-1-1 so she handles the going, drawn well to race on the speed, respect the stable sending her south for a first-up tilt.

Rosehill (tips based on a track rating range of slow 6 to heavy 10)

Race 5 No. 1 Kontiki Park

  • His best form comes when fresh (12 starts for 5-5-0 when first or second-up, 20 starts for 3-4-2 thereafter), 8 starts at the trip for 3-2-1, 3 starts at the track/ trip for 1-0-1, drawn well, should get strong speed to suit.

Race 6 No. 8 Velrosso

  • Another whose best form comes when fresh (5 starts for 3-0-1 when first or second-up, 6 starts for 0-0-2 thereafter), 3 starts at the track/ trip for 2-0-1, last win was at this same BM85 level.

Ipswich (tips based on a track rating range of slow 6 to heavy 10)

Race 6 No. 3 Classics

  • Yet another who is best when fresh (9 starts for 4-2-0 when first or second-up, 6 starts for 1-0-0 thereafter), 6 starts at the trip for 3-1-0, 5 starts on slow/ heavy for 2-1-0, drawn barrier one.

Race 7 No. 7 High Kin

  • Gets better with racing (10 starts for 1-2-1 when first or second-up, 4 starts for 3-0-0 thereafter), 4 starts at the distance for 2-1-0, 7 starts on slow/ heavy tracks for 3-1-1.

Race 8 No. 11 Benny’s Buttons

  • Last run was a complete ‘forgive’ effort when never on the track, has 4 starts at the distance for 1-1-1 (the last of which was a third placing beaten only 0.3 lengths by Steps In Time when conceding her two kilos), 4 starts on slow/ heavy for 1-1-1, drawn better than many of the more fancied runners in an open race.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo

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