Racing’s Kiss of Death – October 19
This week’s selections cover the October 12 meetings at Caulfield (featuring the Group 1 Caulfield Cup), Randwick and Doomben.
Results for October 12 selections
Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price
Scratched – nil
Track outside prescribed range – nil
Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – nil
Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)
Caulfield – Platelet ($6.00 SP) – third
Caulfield – Éclair Big Bang ($9.50) – unplaced
Randwick – Cathay Lady ($8.00) – unplaced
Doomben – Facile Tigre ($6.50) – unplaced
October 12 results: 4 selections, 4 units bet, no winners, 1 placing
2013 results: 71 selections, 71 units bet, 14 winners, 19 placings, SP return of 107.00 units (51% PoT), BOB return of 117.80 units (66% PoT)
2011-2013 results: 208 selections, 208 units bet, 29 winners, 58 placings, SP return of 221.00 units (6% PoT), BOB return of 244.70 units (18% PoT)
Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)
Caulfield – Budriguez ($51.00 SP) – unplaced
October 12 results: 1 selection, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings
2013 results: 38 selections, 19 units bet, 4 winners (1 dead heat), 3 placings, SP return of 24.00 units (26% PoT), BOB return of 27.75 units (46% PoT)
2011-2013 results: 107 selections, 53.5 units bet, 8 winners, 11 placings, SP return of 46.00 units (-14% PoT), BOB return of 53.90 units (2% PoT)
Overall Results
October 12 results: 5 selections, 4.5 units bet, no winners, 1 placing
2013: 109 selections, 90 units bet, 18 winners (1 dead heat), 22 placings, SP return of 131.00 units (46% PoT), BOB return of 145.55 units (62% PoT)
2011-2013: 315 selections, 261.5 units bet, 37 winners, 70 placings, SP return of 267.00 units (2% PoT), BOB return of 298.60 units (14% PoT)
Saturday October 19
Caulfield (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 6 No. 7 Conservatorium
His 2013 form has been excellent, meets Galah 5.5 kilos better for being beaten narrowly in the Group 2 QTC Cup in June, improves rapidly after a run back (7 starts for 1-0-0 first-up, 20 starts for 6-5-1 thereafter), drops back from Group 1 WFA level first-up to a Group 3 SWP race here, drawn to get a cheap run behind the speed.
Race 7 No. 4 Ready To Rip
Races at his best when fresh (12 starts for 7-2-1 first or second-up, 15 starts for 1-3-1 thereafter), 3 starts at Caulfield for 2-0-1 including a Group 2 WFA win, never run over 1100 metres before but has strong form at both 1000 and 1200 metres.
Race 8 No. 4 Scream Machine
Improves significantly after a couple of runs back (11 starts for 0-1-3 first or second-up, 14 starts for 5-1-3 thereafter), loves this trip (5 starts for 3-0-1), his lead-up runs in both the Group 3 Cameron Handicap and Group 1 Epsom Handicap (beaten only 2.5 lengths after being second last on the turn) have both been strong.
Race 10 No. 13 Julienas
Loves 2400 metres (4 starts for 2-2-0), his last two starts have resulted in a win over 2400 metres at Group 3 level carrying 59 kilos and a second to Seville in the Group 1 The Metropolitan (Railings and Tawqueet have done the Metropolitan-Caulfield Cup double in recent years), can cross from a wide gate to race on the speed and will take some running down.
Randwick (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 7 No. 9 Midsummer Sun
Races best fresh (8 starts for 5-0-1 first or second-up, 8 starts for 0-0-0 thereafter), won both first and second-up in his first (and only) preparation in Australia, had 2 trials to prepare him for a first-up tilt, gets in on the limit weight.
Doomben (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 3 No. 1 Belltone
7 starts for 4-0-1 at the track/ trip, gets in with 57.5 kilos after the claim, his last 4 starts read: beaten 3.3 lengths by Rebel Dane, 2.5 lengths by Malavio/ Beelo, 3.8 lengths by Boban, 4.4 lengths by Boban in a Group 1 – great form for now dropping back to an open handicap in Brisbane.
Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo
