Racing’s 2014 Kiss of Death – June 14

This week’s selections cover the June 14 meetings at Flemington and Ipswich.

Results for June 7 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – Legcut

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Freshwater Storm

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Eagle Farm – Knoydart ($8.00 SP) – unplaced

June 7 results: 1 selection, 1 unit bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  51 selections, 51 units bet, 4 winners, 11 placings, SP return of 30.50 units (-40% PoT), BOB return of 30.50 units (-40% PoT)

2011-2014:  271 selections, 271 units bet, 33 winners, 74 placings, SP return of 251.50 units (-7% PoT), BOB return of 275.20 units (2% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Eagle Farm – Liesele ($16.00 SP) – unplaced

June 7 results:  1 selection, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  33 selections, 16.5 units bet, 2 winners, 2 placings, SP return of 12.00 units (-27% PoT), BOB return of 13.60 units (-18% PoT)

2011-2014:  151 selections, 75.5 units bet, 11 winners, 14 placings, SP return of 64.00 units (-15% PoT), BOB return of 73.90 units (-2% PoT)

Overall Results

June 7:  2 selections, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  84 selections, 67.5 units bet, 6 winners, 13 placings, SP return of 42.50 units (-37% PoT), BOB return of 44.10 units (-35% PoT)

2011-2014: 422 selections, 346.5 units bet, 44 winners, 88 placings, SP return of 315.50 units (-9% PoT), BOB return of 349.10 units (1% PoT)

Saturday June 14

Flemington (tips based on a track rating range dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 6 No. 3 General Peekay  

Track was considered too firm for him last start when unplaced at Listed level, two runs prior to that this campaign were both very good, won at this distance before, won at Flemington before, drawn well to get an easy run in transit.

 

Ipswich (tips based on a track rating range good 2 to dead 5)

Race 5 No. 8 Tukiyo

Form through Srikandi at her last 2 starts is outstanding for a race like this, meets Jazz Song better at the weights for beating her home when they last met, drawn well, races near the speed which is an advantage at the tight-turning Ipswich track.

Race 6 No. 6 Black Cash

His run in the Group 2 QTC Cup (when 4th to Sacred Star after drawing wide and racing 3-wide with no cover) was fantastic, draws gate one this time and can push forward much more easily in a race where the speed isn’t obvious, has won at trips up to mile so can be tough through the line.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo

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