Racing’s 2014 Kiss of Death – March 21 and 22

This week’s selections cover the March 21 meeting at Moonee Valley (featuring the Group 1 William Reid Stakes) and the March 22 meetings at Rosehill (featuring the Group 1 Ranvet Stakes and Group 1 Coolmore Classic) and Sandown.

Results for March 15 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Hazard

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Bendigo – Bass Strait ($7.50 SP) – third

March 15 results:  1 selection, 1 unit bet, no winners, 1 placing

2014:  26 selections, 26 units bet, 3 winners, 4 placings, SP return of 21.00 units (-19% PoT), BOB return of 21.00 units (-19% PoT)

2011-2014:  246 selections, 246 units bet, 32 winners, 67 placings, SP return of 242.00 units (-2% PoT), BOB return of 265.70 units (8% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Randwick – Express Power ($10.00 SP) – unplaced

Randwick – Aerobatics ($13.00) – unplaced

March 15 results:  2 selections, 1 unit bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  16 selections, 8 units bet, 2 winners, no placings, SP return of 12.00 units (50% PoT), BOB return of 13.60 units (70% PoT)

2011-2014:  134 selections, 67 units bet, 11 winners, 12 placings, SP return of 64.00 units (-4% PoT), BOB return of 73.90 units (10% PoT)

Overall Results

March 15:  3 selections, 2 units bet, no winners, 1 placing

2014:  42 selections, 34 units bet, 5 winners, 4 placings, SP return of 33.00 units (-3% PoT), BOB return of 34.60 units (2% PoT)

2011-2014: 380 selections, 313 units bet, 43 winners, 79 placings, SP return of 306.00 units (-2% PoT), BOB return of 339.60 units (8% PoT)

Friday March 21

Moonee Valley (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to slow 7)

Race 5 No. 3 Vatican

Luckless last start in the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate, 3 starts ago won a Listed race at Caulfield over 1000 metres easily, 9 starts at the MV short course for 2-5-1, from barrier 1 can push forward and race handy to the speed.

 

Saturday March 22

Rosehill (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to slow 7)

Race 1 No. 4 Va Pensiero

Races best fresh (5 starts for 3-1-0 first or second-up, 6 starts for 0-0-0 thereafter), 2 wins from 4 runs at Rosehill including a win at his only previous start at the track/ trip, beat Dissident at Group 3 level last prep when giving 0.5 kilos to that galloper, drawn well in gate 2.

Race 5 No. 6 Let’s Make Adeal

Drops back in grade from the Group 1 WFA Australian Cup (where she was only 3.2 lengths behind Fiorente) to a Group 3 handicap where she gets in on the limit, her 7 previous career starts where third-up or later into a prep have yielded 0-5-1 plus an unlucky 4^th at Group 2 level behind Sea Moon last spring.

Race 7 No. 8 Sharnee Rose

Meets Catkins 2.5 kilos better for being beaten 2 lengths last start and meets the same galloper 3 kilos better from both the Group 1 Myer Classic (finished 4^th) and Breeders Classic (also finished 4^th). Won at Group 3 level over both 1400 and 1600 metres last prep, finally draws an inside gate this campaign.

 

Sandown (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to slow 7)

Race 6 No. 1 Ready To Rip

Races best fresh (13 starts for 7-2-2 first or second-up, 15 starts for 1-3-1 thereafter), last start 3^rd (beaten less than a length) behind Spirit Of Boom reads as excellent form for this, Sandown should suit his run-on style.

Race 8 No. 1 Dany The Fox

First-up run seemed disappointing at first but Fat Al has since won to frank the form out of that race, 5 starts for 2-2-0 second-up, 2 starts for 1-0-1 at the track/ trip, drops back from Group level to an open handicap and is only 3.5 kilos above the limit after the claim.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo