The 2016 AFL Lines – Round 6
Greg has hit his straps for 2016 while Cliff is still complaining about sides not adhering to trends which have stood the test of the previous four seasons. The more things change, the more they stay the same as we head into Round 6.
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Results – Round 5
GO – 4 units bet, gross return of 7.62 units, 3.62 units net profit
CB – 4 units bet, gross return of 3.76 units, 0.24 units net loss
Total – 8 units bet, gross return of 11.38 units, 3.38 units net profit
Results – 2016 season
GO – 21.5 units bet, gross return of 24.84 units, 3.34 units net profit
CB – 26 units bet, gross return of 22.87 units, 3.13 units net loss
Total – 47.5 units bet, gross return of 47.71 units, 0.21 units net profit
Results – 2011-2016 seasons
GO – 533.5 units bet, gross return of 539.68 units, 6.18 units net profit, 1.2% PoT
CB – 437 units bet, gross return of 440.55 units, 3.79 units net profit, 0.8% PoT
Total – 970.5 units bet, gross return of 980.23 units, 6.35 units net profit, 1.0% PoT
Summary of Round 5 recommendations
GO
1 unit on North Melbourne -2.5 at $1.91 (William Hill)
1 unit on over 184.5 total points (Melbourne v St Kilda) at $1.91 (Bet365)
1 unit on Port Adelaide +4.5 at $1.92 (Luxbet)
1 unit on over 180.5 total points (Geelong v Gold Coast) at $1.91 (Bet365)
CB
1 unit on over 187.5 total points (Adelaide v Fremantle) at $1.91 (Bet365)
1 unit on over 180.5 total points (Geelong v Gold Coast) at $1.91 (Bet365)
1 unit on West Coast -38.5 at $1.91 (Bet365)
I’m taking freo plus. Anything +50.5 or better @1.91, it’s way too generous given the crows standing . Freo h2h is a different story. If it gets out to $12 though…I’m getting on.