2015 ANZ Championships – Round 11 Tips

Ben Carbonaro previews Round 11 of the 2015 ANZ Championship.

Previous Results of Ben’s tips

Rd 10: 3 units bet, gross return of 3.80 units, net profit of 0.80 units

2015 total: 21 units bet, gross return of 20.84 units, net loss of 0.16 units

2012-2015: 114 units bet, gross return of 126.38 units, net profit of 12.38 units, Profit on Turnover (PoT) = 11%

 

Round 11 Tips (please note: all times are the local time for the home side)

Sunday May 10, 12:18 PM Firebirds v Vixens

Bookmakers’ line: Firebird -6.5

Ben says: Netball returns to the Gold Coast, having previously hosted Queensland Firebirds home games, finals and international netball featuring the Australian Diamonds. The Firebirds pulled off a huge upset last Friday night, knocking off a West Coast Fever team that had previously been undefeated and a yard stick for the competition this year. As a result of the Firebirds win, they are defending the Challenge Trophy  for the first time and looking to make it two wins from two games over the Vixens after they beat them 55-48 back in round seven. For the Vixens, things appeared to be back on track with back to back wins during a block of three consecutive games before things came tumbling down when they were mauled by 24 goals by the NSW Swifts in a new record losing margin for them in Sydney. While I have tipped the Firebirds in this game, if Vixens defender Geva Mentor can restrict Firebirds shooting machine Romelda Aiken it will go a long way to the Vixens winning and getting their season back on again. Firebirds by 10

 

Recommended bet: 1 unit on Firebirds -6.5 at $1.90 (Centrebet)

 

Sunday May 10, 2:18 PM Swifts v Thunderbirds

Bookmakers’ line: Swifts -6.5

Ben says: The Swifts completely obliterated the Vixens by 24 goals, just a few short of their biggest win in competition history which is 29 against the Central Pulse back in round four 2008.Refreshed and recharged after a bye, the Thunderbirds are back on court in a game that could go either way. The Thunderbirds have the competition’s third best defence and have averaged 57.3 goals per game over their last three which definitely does count for them. Fresh from the Australian Diamonds selection camp during the week, Caitlin Thwaites has been good form this season including a 39 goal performance against the Vixens and if her combination with Susan Pettitt can again strong, Swifts will win. Swifts by 6

Recommended bet: Nil

 

Sunday May 10, 7:10 PM Magic v Steel

Bookmakers’ line: Magic -2.5

Ben says: Regardless of which sport one is talking about, one factor that can be applied to all of them is that statistics don’t lie even if is there an element of doubt The interesting statistic about this game is the fact that Magic have never lost after coming off a bye. Back in round seven the first of two clashes for season 2015 between these two teams went the Magic’s way, but this game could definitely go either way and come down to the final minutes. Magic by 3

Recommended bet: Nil

 

Monday May 11, 7:10 PM Pulse v Tactix

Bookmakers’ line: Pulse -7.5

Ben says: While it was a 10 goal loss against the Northern Mystics, the Mainland Tactix were again competitive. I’ve tipped the Pulse to win this round’s sole Monday night fixture but I am of the belief that Tactix have started to get things tgether since the round nine clash with the Vixens where they match them during the first quarter and didn’t trail by much during the ensuing three quarters. Tactix captain Anna Thompson makes her 100th ANZ Championship appearance after making her debut in the competition’s inaugural season of 2008. Pulse by 13

Recommended bet: 1 unit on Pulse -7.5 at $1.90 (Centrebet)

 

Byes: Fever, Mystics