2015 ANZ Championships – Round 4 tips

Ben Carbonaro previews Round 4 of the 2015 ANZ Championship.

Previous Results of Ben’s tips

Rd 3: 2 units bet, gross return of 1.90 units, net loss of 0.10 units

2015 total: 7 units bet, gross return of 7.58 units, net profit of 0.58 units

2012-2015: 100 units bet, gross return of 113.12 units, net profit of 13.12 units, Profit on Turnover (PoT) = 13%

 

Round 4 Tips (please note: all times are the local time for the home side)

Sunday March 22, 11:48 AM Thunderbirds v Vixens

Bookmakers’ line: Thunderbirds +8.5

Ben says: In a quirk of the draw, these two teams clash for the second time in as many weeks. Coming the first draw of the 2015 season, the Thunderbirds go into this game looking to make amends from the previous game in Melbourne against the Vixens where they lost 48-39 despite being competitive in patches as the game wore on. Thunderbirds captain Renae Hallinan makes her 100th ANZ Championship appearance today against the team that represents her home state, Victoria. One of the main talking points here will be whether or not the competition’s number defensive line in the Vixens trio of Bianca Chatfield, Geva Mentor and Kate Moloney can contain Jamaican shooting machine Carla Borrego. Vixens by 11

Recommended bet: Nil

 

Sunday March 22, 7:10 PM Magic v Tactix

Bookmakers’ line: Magic -10.5

Ben says: Tactix have actually like a good side early this season, more so I believe than they did for the all of last year. What they are still lacking through is consistency across a full four quarters and not dropping off after half-time. Magic have won all 14 of the clashes between these two teams and have won the past five by an average of 21.6 goals. This will continue on Monday night, with what I feel will be another one sided contest. Magic by 14

Recommended bet: 1 unit on Magic -10.5 at $1.90 (Centrebet)

 

Monday March 23, 7:40 PM Mystics v Pulse

Bookmakers’ line: Mystics -2.5

Ben says: While the Mystics hold a strong record, winning 11 of the 14 clashes across competition history the Pulse have shown good signs across the first three rounds including a win last weekend over Mainland Tactix. The Mystics will continue their dominance over the Pulse, but don’t be surprised if this game is decided late. Mystics by 6

Recommended bet: 1 unit on Mystics -2.5 at $1.90 (Centrebet)

 

Sunday March 15, 7:18 PM Swifts v Fever

Bookmakers’ line: Swifts -2.5

Ben says: The Swifts are coming off the competition’s first full-time draw when scores were locked at 47 goals each against the Queensland Firebirds last weekend. Fever have now stretched their unbeaten run to four including their final game of last season and are finally starting to show something after previously showing hints of brilliance over several seasons now. On paper, both teams are reasonably matched and I believe this one will go down to the wire but Swifts will win by a whisker. Swifts by 2

Recommended bet: Nil

 

Byes: Firebirds, Steel