Racing’s Kiss of Death – August 10

Filed in Horse Racing, The Sting's Racing Selections by on August 9, 2013

This week’s selections cover the August 10 meetings at Flemington, featuring the Group 3 Aurie’s Star Handicap.

Results for August 3 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Clanga’s Glory

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Moonee Valley – Bia Diamond ($7.50 SP) – unplaced

Moonee Valley – Streets Of Seattle ($9.00) – unplaced

Moonee Valley – Sir Fernando ($9.00) – unplaced

Doomben – Gundy Son ($7.00) – third

August 3 results:   4 selections, 4 units bet, no winners, 1 placing

2013 results:  53 selections, 53 units bet, 10 winners, 16 placings, SP return of 75.50 units (42% PoT), BOB return of 84.90 units (60% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 190 selections, 190 units bet, 25 winners, 56 placings, SP return of 189.50 units (-0.3% PoT), BOB return of 211.80 units (11% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Rosehill – Altius ($19.00 SP) – unplaced

August 3 results:   1 selection, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings

2013 results: 29 selections, 14.5 units bet, 4 winners (1 dead heat), 2 placings, SP return of 24.00 units (66% PoT), BOB return of 27.75 units (91% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 98 selections, 49 units bet, 8 winners, 10 placings, SP return of 46.00 units (-6% PoT), BOB return of 53.90 units (10% PoT)

Overall Results

August 3 results:   5 selections, 4.5 units bet, no winners, 1 placing

2013:  82 selections, 67.5 units bet, 14 winners (1 dead heat), 18 placings, SP return of 99.50 units (47% PoT), BOB return of 112.65 units (67% PoT)

2011-2013: 288 selections, 239 units bet, 33 winners, 66 placings, SP return of 235.50 units (-1% PoT), BOB return of 265.70 units (11% PoT)

Saturday August 10

Flemington (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 4 No. 8 Prettyhappyaboutit

  • Won at Listed level start, races best fresh (5 starts for 3-2-0 when first or second-up, 3 starts for 0-0-2 thereafter), 7 starts at the trip for 3-2-2, well suited on the 54-kilo limit.

Race 5 No. 10 Now And Zen

  • Very poor second-up but tends to struggle on very wet track so I’m inclined to forgive that, improves sharply after a couple of runs back from a spell (6 starts for 1-0-0 when first or second-up, 7 starts for 3-1-2 thereafter), 2 starts at the trip for 1-1-0, had form through Whisper Downs over the middle-distance range last preparation.

Race 6 No. 3 Magnifique Soleil

  • Excellent win in the Listed Winter Championship final last start (second-place horse has since won), 15 starts for 8-2-1 on tracks rated dead or better, only has to give 1.5 kilos to the likely favourite Henwood (who has never won over 1400 metres or in unrestricted grade).

Race 7 No. 3 Ferlax

  • Won his first 4 careeer starts (including the Group 1 Australian Guineas) before failing at his first attempt the Sydney way of going when 7thto It’s A Dundeel in the Group 1 Randwick Guineas, 2 starts at the trip for 2 wins, only 2.5 kilos above the limit and receives 3.5 kilos off the top weight Luckygray.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo

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