Racing’s Kiss of Death – August 3

This week’s selections cover the August 3 meetings at Moonee Valley, Rosehill and Doomben.

Results for July 27 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Perfect Punch

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Doomben – Pure Purrfection ($6.50 SP) – second

July 27 results:   1 selection, 1 unit bet, no winners, 1 placing

2013 results:  49 selections, 49 units bet, 10 winners, 15 placings, SP return of 75.50 units (54% PoT), BOB return of 84.90 units (73% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 186 selections, 186 units bet, 25 winners, 55 placings, SP return of 189.50 units (2% PoT), BOB return of 211.80 units (14% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Caulfield – She Goes To Rio ($14.00 SP) – unplaced

Caulfield – Clang And Bang ($21.00) – unplaced

Randwick – My Destiny ($10.00) – unplaced

July 27 results:   3 selections, 1.5 units bet, no winners, no placings

2013 results: 28 selections, 14 units bet, 4 winners (1 dead heat), 2 placings, SP return of 24.00 units (71% PoT), BOB return of 27.75 units (98% PoT)

2011-2013 results: 97 selections, 48.5 units bet, 8 winners, 10 placings, SP return of 46.00 units (-5% PoT), BOB return of 53.90 units (11% PoT)

Overall Results

July 27 results:   4 selections, 2.5 units bet, no winners, 1 placing

2013:  77 selections, 63 units bet, 14 winners (1 dead heat), 17 placings, SP return of 99.50 units (58% PoT), BOB return of 112.65 units (79% PoT)

2011-2013: 283 selections, 234.5 units bet, 33 winners, 65 placings, SP return of 235.50 units (0% PoT), BOB return of 265.70 units (13% PoT)

Saturday August 3

Moonee Valley (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 4 No. 4 Bia Diamond

• Sticking with her given that her last start fourth was forgivable (she was posted wide in running on a heavy track), 9 starts for 3-5-0 when third-up or further into a campaign, 4 starts for 2-2-0 at the mile, drawn to get an easy run in transit from gate 1.

Race 5 No. 3 Streets Of Seattle

• Improves with racing (12 starts for 0-4-0 when first or second-up, 34 starts for 9-5-4 thereafter), last start winner at Flemington, 1 win from 2 previous starts at the track/ trip, stays down in the weights (2 kilos below the limit after the claim), always partial to sticking with in-form staying mares.

Race 6 No. 4 Clanga’s Glory

• Excellent when second to Magnifique Soleil in the Winter Championship final, backed that up with a win at Flemington 2 weeks ago, now 8 starts at the mile for 4-1-1, a number of his rivals here are 4 or 5 weeks between runs.

Race 8 No. 7 Sir Fernando

• Another who improves with racing (8 starts for 1-4-0 when first or second-up, 5 starts for 2-2-0 thereafter), 2 wins from 4 starts at the track/ trip (1 of the unplaced runs was first-up), forgive his last start when second-up on a heavy track, drawn barrier 1.

Rosehill (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 3 No. 2 Altius

• Half-brother to Elvstroem and Haradasun who has had 2 recent trials to prepare for this resumption, goes well fresh (5 starts for 3-1-1 when first or second-up, 6 starts for 1-2-0 thereafter, 5 starts at Rosehill for 2-1-1, won at BM90 level last campaign, drawn gate 2 and carrying only 55.5 kilos after the claim.

Doomben (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 7 No. 2 Gundy Son

• For all the same reasons I tipped him a couple of weeks ago (before he was scratched). His form through the Listed Chief De Beers Handicap and Group 3 Healy Stakes is the best in this field, forgive his Ramornie Handicap run where he blew the start, 4 starts at the track/ trip for 1-1-1, strong speed is likely which will suit his run-on style.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo