Racing’s 2014 Kiss of Death – June 21

This week’s selections cover the June 21 meetings at Moonee Valley, Randwick and Morphettville.

Results for June 14 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Black Cash

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Flemington – General Peekay ($7.00 SP) – unplaced

June 14 results: 1 selection, 1 unit bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  52 selections, 52 units bet, 4 winners, 11 placings, SP return of 30.50 units (-41% PoT), BOB return of 30.50 units (-41% PoT)

2011-2014:  272 selections, 272 units bet, 33 winners, 74 placings, SP return of 251.50 units (-8% PoT), BOB return of 275.20 units (1% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Ipswich – Tukiyo ($12.00 SP) – unplaced

June 14 results:  1 selection, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  34 selections, 17 units bet, 2 winners, 2 placings, SP return of 12.00 units (-29% PoT), BOB return of 13.60 units (-20% PoT)

2011-2014:  152 selections, 76 units bet, 11 winners, 14 placings, SP return of 64.00 units (-16% PoT), BOB return of 73.90 units (-3% PoT)

Overall Results

June 14:  2 selections, 1.5 units bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  86 selections, 69 units bet, 6 winners, 13 placings, SP return of 42.50 units (-38% PoT), BOB return of 44.10 units (-36% PoT)

2011-2014: 424 selections, 348 units bet, 44 winners, 88 placings, SP return of 315.50 units (-9% PoT), BOB return of 349.10 units (0% PoT)

Saturday June 21

Moonee Valley (tips based on a track rating range dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 2 No. 4 Legcut  

Loves the 1000m (11 starts for 4-2-1, including 2 wins from 4 starts at the track/ trip), won 3 of her last 7 starts overall, drawn to get an easy run in transit.

Race 6 No. 1 Brambles

His 2 runs back from a long break (both carrying 60 kilos or more) have been very promising, improves with racing (6 starts for 4-1-1 when third-up or further into a prep), drops to 57 kilos third-up and meets The Cleaner 4 kilos better for their last meeting, 5 previous starts at the mile for 2-1-1.

 

Randwick (tips based on a track rating range Good 2 to Dead 5)

Race 8 No. 2 Unanimously

Forgive his last start flop on a heavy track and his form line this prep reads 2212, this is his best trip (9 starts for 4-1-0), meets Testarhythm 3 kilos better for being beaten a length 2 starts ago, drawn well.

 

Morphettville (tips based on a track rating range dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 5 No. 6 Classy Chloe  

Gets back to her preferred distance (17 starts for 6-4-0) after being unplaced over 1000m last start, won at this trip 2 starts ago, won 2 of 5 races on slow ground so rain-affected going is no problem, may be able to get a cheap lead from barrier 2.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo

 

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