Racing’s 2014 Kiss of Death – March 28

This week’s selections cover the March 29 meeting at Rosehill (featuring the Group 1 Rosehill Guineas, Group 1 The Galaxy and Group 1 George Ryder Stakes).

Results for March 22 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Vatican, Ready To Rip, Dany The Fox

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Rosehill – Va Pensiero ($9.00 SP) – second

Rosehill – Let’s Make Adeal ($7.00) – unplaced

Rosehill – Sharnee Rose ($9.50) – unplaced

March 22 results:  3 selections, 3 units bet, no winners, 1 placing

2014:  29 selections, 29 units bet, 3 winners, 5 placings, SP return of 21.00 units (-28% PoT), BOB return of 21.00 units (-28% PoT)

2011-2014:  249 selections, 249 units bet, 32 winners, 68 placings, SP return of 242.00 units (-3% PoT), BOB return of 265.70 units (7% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Nil

March 22 results:  no selections

2014:  16 selections, 8 units bet, 2 winners, no placings, SP return of 12.00 units (50% PoT), BOB return of 13.60 units (70% PoT)

2011-2014:  134 selections, 67 units bet, 11 winners, 12 placings, SP return of 64.00 units (-4% PoT), BOB return of 73.90 units (10% PoT)

Overall Results

March 22:  3 selections, 3 units bet, no winners, 1 placing

2014:  45 selections, 37 units bet, 5 winners, 5 placings, SP return of 33.00 units (-11% PoT), BOB return of 34.60 units (-6% PoT)

2011-2014: 383 selections, 316 units bet, 43 winners, 80 placings, SP return of 306.00 units (-3% PoT), BOB return of 339.60 units (7% PoT)

Saturday March 22

Rosehill (tips based on a track rating range dead 4 to heavy 10)

Race 3 No. 8 Single Style

Loves the sting out (6 starts for 0-0-0 on good, 7 starts for 3-1-1 on rain-affected), strong run first-up from a terrible gate and tends to improve with racing (6 starts for 0-0-1 first-up, 7 starts for 3-1-0 thereafter), 2 starts for a win at the track/ trip.

Race 6 No. 6 Temple Of Boom

Genuine wet-tracker (11 starts for 5-4-0 on slow or heavy, 32 starts for 5-2-6 on good or dead), nice first-up run when caught wide in the Group 2 WFA Challenge Stakes, beaten only 3.1 and 4.2 lengths by Buffering in Group 1 WFA sprints (both on dead tracks) last Spring.

Race 7 No. 14 El Roca

Four of last 10 George Ryder Stakes winners have been 3yos, his run in the Randwick Guineas was excellent when jumping from 1300 to 1600 metres in just 7 days (looked set to go straight past Dissident but his condition just gave out), 4 starts on rain-affected going for 3-0-0.

Race 9 No. 1 Epingle

On handicap ratings should be giving every horse in this field at least 6 kilos (and most horses more than 10 kilos) but gets in with only 2.5 kilos more than all bar one horse in this field, love rain-affected going (12 starts for 1-3-2 on good, 13 starts for 4-2-4 on dead or worse), beaten only 2 lengths at Group 2 WFA level against the males last prep.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo