Racing’s 2014 Kiss of Death – March 8

This week’s selections cover the March 8 meetings at Flemington (Super Saturday!) and Warwick Farm (featuring the Group 1 Chipping Norton Stakes).

Results for March 1 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Flying Home, Riziz, Rialya

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Flemington – Cooldini ($6.00 SP, $6.00 BOB) – Won

Flemington – Woakwine ($8.50) – unplaced

Flemington – Goldslick ($6.50) – unplaced

Flemington – Dany The Fox ($7.00) – unplaced

Eagle Farm – Mr Favulous ($8.00) – unplaced

March 1 results:  5 selections, 5 units bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 6.00 units, BOB return of 6.00 units

2014:  23 selections, 23 units bet, 3 winners, 3 placings, SP return of 21.00 units (-9% PoT), BOB return of 21.00 units (-9% PoT)

2011-2014:  243 selections, 243 units bet, 32 winners, 66 placings, SP return of 242.00 units (0% PoT), BOB return of 265.70 units (9% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Flemington – El Magico ($10.00 SP) – unplaced

March 1 results:  1 selection, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  11 selections, 5.5 units bet, 2 winners, no placings, SP return of 12.00 units (118% PoT), BOB return of 13.60 units (147% PoT)

2011-2014:  128 selections, 64 units bet, 11 winners, 12 placings, SP return of 64.00 units (0% PoT), BOB return of 73.90 units (15% PoT)

Overall Results

March 1:  6 selections, 5.5 units bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 6.00 units, BOB return of 6.00 units

2014:  34 selections, 28.5 units bet, 5 winners, 3 placings, SP return of 33.00 units (16% PoT), BOB return of 34.60 units (21% PoT)

2011-2014: 372 selections, 307.5 units bet, 43 winners, 78 placings, SP return of 306.00 units (0% PoT), BOB return of 339.60 units (10% PoT)

Saturday March 8

Flemington (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 4 No. 7 Are There Any

Beat the boys over 1700 metres at this track last start, meets Five All 7 kilos better (and Text’n Hurley 1 kilo better) for a blanket three-way finish at the start prior over this distance, 7 starts for 3-1-2 on good-rated tracks, can position handy to the lead from barrier 1.

Race 6 No. 8 Pago Rock

8 of the last 9 Newmarket winners have come through the Group 1 Lightning stakes, where he ran 4^th, meets Shamexpress 3 kilos better for finishing 1.7 lengths behind him, meets Samaready 5 kilos better for finishing 0.7 lengths behind her, meets Unpretentious at level weights for beating him home (but is twice the odds!).

Race 8 No. 9 Stipulate

Only Australian run was in the Group 1 Emirates Stakes (beaten only 4 lengths), meets a clearly inferior field to that race here, his last European start was a second at Group 2 level over this trip behind Asfare, 5 first-up starts for 2-2-0, SWP nature of this race sees him get in on the 55 kilo limit.

 

Warwick Farm (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to slow 7)

Race 4 No. 3 Fire Up Fifi

Motored home late when first-up over 1200 metres carrying 59 kilos, last time second-up she won at Flemington over this distance at Group 2 level (beating Catkins), subsequently ran 3^rd behind Red Tracer and Catkins in the Group 1 Myer Classic, 17 starts for 8-3-0 on rain-affected ground.

Race 6 No. 5 Spurtonic

Beaten only 0.6 lengths in the Group 1 Epsom Handicap last spring, goes well fresh (6 starts for 3-1-0 first or second-up, 8 starts for 2-2-0 thereafter), beaten only 2.2 lengths in the Group 1 Emirates Stakes despite dropping from 2000 metres to 1600 for that race, Group 3 winner last prep, can sit just off the speed and finish strongly.

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo