Racing’s 2014 Kiss of Death – May 17

This week’s selections cover the May 17 meetings at Caulfield, Scone and Doomben (featuring the Group 1 Doomben Cup). One day, this evil losing streak of 40 bets (and 31.5 units) that dates back to March 1 when Cooldini saluted will be broken.

Results for May 10 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – nil

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Shoreham, Seeking More

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Rosehill – King Cobia ($8.00 SP) – unplaced

May 10 results: 1 selection, 1 unit bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  45 selections, 45 units bet, 3 winners, 10 placings, SP return of 21.00 units (-53% PoT), BOB return of 21.00 units (-53% PoT)

2011-2014:  265 selections, 265 units bet, 32 winners, 73 placings, SP return of 242.00 units (-9% PoT), BOB return of 265.70 units (0% PoT)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Doomben – Lauren Tate ($12.00 SP) – unplaced

Morphettville – Pago Rock ($21.00) – unplaced

May 10 results:  2 selections, 1 unit bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  28 selections, 14 units bet, 2 winners, 1 placing, SP return of 12.00 units (-14% PoT), BOB return of 13.60 units (-3% PoT)

2011-2014:  146 selections, 73 units bet, 11 winners, 13 placings, SP return of 64.00 units (-12% PoT), BOB return of 73.90 units (1% PoT)

Overall Results

May 10:  3 selections, 2 units bet, no winners, no placings

2014:  73 selections, 59 units bet, 5 winners, 11 placings, SP return of 33.00 units (-44% PoT), BOB return of 34.60 units (-41% PoT)

2011-2014: 411 selections, 338 units bet, 43 winners, 86 placings, SP return of 306.00 units (-9% PoT), BOB return of 339.60 units (0% PoT)

Saturday May 17

Caulfield (tips based on a track rating range good 2 to dead 5)

Race 3 No. 9 Pin Your Hopes  

Well beaten last start by Onpicalo on a wet track (Onpicalo’s preferred surface) so drier track suits this one, 4 starts at the trip for 3-1-0, gets in 1.5 kilos under the limit after the claim, can box seat from gate 4.

Race 4 No. 2 Halle Rocks  

Comes back from Group 1 WFA company , four and five starts back was beaten only 1.4 lengths and 3.2 lengths (by Shamal Wind) at Listed level, strong winner at this track and trip 2 starts ago.

 

Scone (tips based on a track rating range good 2 to dead 5)

Race 8 No. 1 Aeronautical

Last time he raced at Listed level he won well with 58 kilos (over similar trip to this), solid third behind Hot Sniztel last start at Group 3 level on a wet track, much prefers drier surface (10 starts for 0-0-1 on slow or heavy, 17 starts for 4-3-2 on good or dead), should get strong speed on to suit.

 

Doomben (tips based on a track rating range dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 4 No. 2 She Can Skate

Goes best fresh (6 starts for 3-1-1 first or second-up), not beaten far at Listed at Group 3 level during Melbourne spring (only 3 lengths off Lankan Rupee at WFA!), won 2 trials this way of going in preparation for this race, drawn nicely in gate 5.

Race 8 No. 2 River Lad

Forgive last start at Group 2 WFA level when copped a flying clod in the eye during the race, ran second to Appearance at Group 2 WFA level in his previous start, handles all going, carries weight well, and despite wide gate should have little trouble crossing to the front in a race with very little apparent early speed.

 

Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo