Try Line Picks: Round 22
Sea Eagles – Line: 5.00 Bet Units: The match of the round has the Cowboys home favourites against the Sea Eagles. The Manly side welcome back Brett Stewart this week, a massive inclusion which tips the ratings very much to the Sea Eagles overall and in the key spine match-up. The Sea Eagles Cherry-Evans, Foran, Ballin and Brett Stewart is one of the top rating spines in the comp, they have strong centres and wingers that will test the Cowboys wide all evening. The prop rotation at Manly is still a concern, saying that they have been strong of recent weeks – the sluggish nature of King and Kite with the rotation of the unfit Rose and young Lussick can create more work for Watmough and Williams, at times taking something from their attack.
The Cowboys were OK against a great Dogs last week; they have brilliant props, Bowen in career best form, the master in Thurston and excellent defensive centres. This will be a close one – over the last 4 games these sides have averaged within 15m of each other per game (1447 [NQ] v 1436 [MAN]), miss a similar amount of tackles (41.00 [NQ] v 37.75 [MAN]), both have coughed up circa 10 errors in each game, have conceded exactly 4.75 penalties each per game, and both hovering around 74% in completion of sets. The Sea Eagles have their nose in front through quality of their spine whereas the Cows are relying on Thurston and Bowen to get them home, the Cowboys are false favourites at home. Take the Sea Eagles at the plus (+2.0 to +3.5)
Exotic Selection
Sea Eagles – Margin 1-12: 1.00 Bet Unit ($3.40 @ Sportsbet)
Try Line Picks KPIs 2012 – Round Selections Only
·Strike Rate of 56.5% (LW 58.3%)
·Units Profit of +24.09 (LW +34.09 units)
·Net Profit of +8.54% (LW +12.53%)
Try Line Picks KPIs 2012 – Exotic Selections Only
·Strike Rate of 42.9% (LW 45.0%)
·Units Profit of +7.35 (LW +8.35 units)
·Net Profit of +35.00% (LW +41.75%)
Overall TLP is +31.44 units PROFIT in 2012!
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