Try Line Picks: Round 24
Storm – Line: 5.00 Bet Units: On recent form the Broncos have been awful, and only played well for 30 minutes last week against the Dogs who were dreadful in the first quarter of the game. The rating mismatch is the spine, the Broncos are battling – Wallace is in career worst form, Hunt a natural 7 playing wider, and Norman struggling; only hooker McCullough is playing well and consistently. The Storm spine is well documented and the best in the comp when the "Big 3" are in play! The biggest issue is defence – the Broncos have missed on average 48.50 tackles per game since Round 20, the Storm have missed just 26.00 per game in the same period. The Storm have too much class in key positions this week; should they hold their own in the middle third the brilliant Smith will steer his side home, take Storm to cover the line (-3.5 to -4.5)
Cowboys – Line: 5.00 Bet Units: Simply, the Cowboys have everything to play for an need to win heading into the finals! The prop clash is a good one, but when Hunt and Merrin spell the Cowboys have plenty of impact to own the middle third. Michael Morgan is interesting, looks comfortable now and could be an X-factor heading into the finals – they know how to play him…run first, pass second! Thurston and Bowen are brilliant, the Dragons defence suspect at the moment and the yardage since Round 20 a complete mismatch – the averages are the Cowboys at 1530m the Dragons at 1300m. The Dragons errors and completions have not been good enough recently and rating poorly. The Cowboys finish with the Knights (h) and Sharks (a), so are pushing for a Top 4 spot – Cows to cover (-4.0 to -4.5)
Exotic Selection
Storm – Margin 1-12: 1.00 Bet Unit ($3.00 @ Sportsbet)
Try Line Picks KPIs 2012 – Round Selections Only
·Strike Rate of 54.4% (LW 56.3%)
·Units Profit of +18.29 (LW +23.69 units)
·Net Profit of +5.86% (LW +8.11%)
Try Line Picks KPIs 2012 – Exotic Selections Only
·Strike Rate of 43.5% (LW 45.5%)
·Units Profit of +8.75 (LW +9.75 units)
·Net Profit of +38.04% (LW +44.32%)
Overall TLP is +27.04 units PROFIT in 2012!
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