The 2013 NFL Lines – Week 4
Results for Week 3 selections
NT – 3 selections, 3.5 units bet, return of 4.77 units
CB – 3 selections, 3 units bet, return of 2.05 units
Total – 6 selections, 6.5 units bet, return of 6.82 units
Results for 2013 selections
NT – 11 selections, 11.5 units bet, return of 8.47 units
CB – 8 selections, 8 units bet, return of 6.82 units
Total – 19 selections, 19.5 units bet, return of 15.28 units
Recommended Bets
NT
BALTIMORE @ BUFFALO: BUFFALO +3 @ $1.93 (LUXBET)
The Ravens are being severely overrated here. They were smashed by Denver before limping home against Cleveland. They were flattered last week against a horrid Houston. The Bills lost by two to the Pats and then beat the Panthers at home. They have some moxy with EJ Manuel at QB and their defence should contain Joe Flacco.
NY GIANTS @ KANSAS CITY: KANSAS CITY -4 @ $1.92 (SPORTSBET)
The Giants officially stink. They were humiliated by Carolina last week and through the opening three weeks have a turnover differential of -9, having given the ball up an amazing 13 times. The Chiefs, by contrast, lead the NFL in turnover differential with 9. The Chiefs defence is going to make Eli Manning’s life hell.
DALLAS @ SAN DIEGO: SAN DIEGO +2 @ $1.91 (BET365)
Dallas may well be the best team in the NFC East but that sure as hell doesn’t mean they are any good. They have won just 7 of their last 17 on the road and their struggling defence should struggle with the San Diego aerial attack. The Chargers certainly don’t deserve to be home outsiders.
MIAMI @ NEW ORLEANS: NEW ORLEANS -6 @ $1.92 (IAS)
The Saints have won and covered their last 11 at home with Sean Payton as coach. I will stick with that record and the team with the chip on its shoulder against a team I don’t trust in the slightest.
CB
NY GIANTS @ KANSAS CITY: 1 UNIT ON KANSAS CITY -4.0 AT $1.92 (SPORTSBET)
The Giants are conceding an average of 38 points per game. The Chiefs conceded just 16 to both the Cowboys and the Eagles. The Chiefs come here off a 10-day break compared to 7 days for the Giants. Arrowhead Stadium provides one of the best home field advantages in the NFL.
CHICAGO @ DETROIT: 1 UNIT ON CHICAGO +3.0 AT $1.92 (SPORTSBET)
The 3-point line suggests that at a neutral venue, these teams would be rated evenly. Both teams have recorded a pair of wins against 0-3 sides, so I’m discounting those in assessing this match. That leaves Chicago’s week 1 win at home over Cincinnati against Detroit’s week 2 loss at Arizona. The Bengals look good, while the Cardinals are… well… they’re the Cardinals. I’m grabbing the points.
Thanks to Joe Robbins/ Getty Images North America for use of the photo
