August 27 Racing Selections
Tips for this weekend cover the August 27 meetings at Caulfield (featuring the Group 2 Memsie Stakes) and Rosehill (featuring the Run To The Rose).
Results for August 20
Invalid tips (due to scratchings and/ or track ratings that were outside the prescribed range)
Moonee Valley – Dusty Star (scratched)
Warwick Farm – Winter King (track outside prescribed range)
Morphettville Parks – Rebel Raider (scratched)
Tips where the SP was $5.50 or less
Nil
August 20 Results: No selections, no winners
Overall Results: 69 selections, 15 winners, SP return of $54.55, SP POT = -2`%, Luxbet BOB return of $64.20, BOB POT = -7%
Tips where the SP was $6 or greater
Moonee Valley – Crabs ($6.50 SP) – third
Doomben – Eureka ($10.00) – unplaced
August 20 Results: Two selections, no winners
Overall Results: 69 selections, eight winners, SP return of $64.00, SP POT = -7%, Luxbet BOB return of $74.80, BOB POT = +8%
All tips
Overall Results: 138 selections, 23 winners, SP return of $118.55, SP POT = -14%, Luxbet BOB return of $139.00, BOB POT = +1%
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Rules
(1) A ‘track rating range’ for which the tip will be considered valid will accompany selections.
(2) Results refer to a win-only bet at the bookmakers’ starting price (SP) or Luxbet’s ‘Best of Best’ (BOB) price divided into two groups– those where the SP is $5.50 or less (Group 1), and those where the SP is $6 or greater (Group 2).
Saturday August 27
Caulfield (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 2 No. 1 Miss Gai Flyer
Forgive her first up run down the Flemington straight (a task mnay horses simply don't cope well with) and her autumn form is quite compelling for a race such as this, winning twice at Listed level. She is one out of one at Caulfield, one out of one over the 1100 metres and four out of seven overall on tracks rated dead or better. With a handy draw in barrrier three and only 56 kilos after the claim, I think she's very well suited here.
Race 3 No. 6 Simply Put
Yeah yeah, I tip this mare a lot. These are the facts: (1) she burnt across from barrier 13 last start in the Group 3 Cockram Stakes and wasn't the only one to fade in the last 200 metres (I'm Discreet faded to dead last); (2) last preparation she beat Mid Summer Music, ran fourth to Group 1 winner Beaded at Group level and ran a narrow second to Red Flair in a Group 3 at this track and distance. With a drop in grade, barrier three and 55.5 kilos, ignore her at your own risk.
Race 7 No. 4 Grand Duels
This grand old galloper dusted off his best form last preparation with three wins in a row, two coming at Listed level. He has a strong first-up record of three wins and two placings from seven fresh runs and with the speed in this race likely to be pretty solid (most of it drawn out wide), the race could well be set up for a late swooper such as him.
Rosehill (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)
Race 6 No. 5 Hume
It has been a while coming, but he finally gets into a race over a more suitable journey. His form around the mile distance in Brisbane of late has been solid, running on strongly late in races that were simply too short whilst often carrying big weights. Now he gets into an 1800 metre race on the 53 kilo limit – not bad for a horse who ran second to Shocking in the Group 2 Lexus Quality on VRC Derby Day in 2009. Throw in his record on slow tracks (two starts for two wins) and I think he has his hoof on the till.
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Thanks to Matt King/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo
