June 9 Racing Selections

Filed in Horse Racing, The Sting's Racing Selections by on June 7, 2012

No losing recommended bets last week! I don’t care that this result only came about because rain in Sydney and Brisbane rendered all tips out of scope – don’t take this moment of non-losing away from me. With that ‘glass half full’ viewpoint out of the way, June 9 tips cover the meetings at Flemington, Rosehill and Eagle Farm (featuring the Group 1 Stradbroke Handicap, Group 1 Queensland Derby and the Group 2 Brisbane Cup).

Final report card for 2011 and revised rules for 2012 tips

Results for June 2 selections

Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price

Scratched – nil

Track outside prescribed range – Once Were Wild, River Of Salvation, Steel Zip

Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – nil

Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)

Nil

June 2 results:   No selections, no winners

2012 results:  34 selections, 34 units bet, 1 winner, 14 seconds/  thirds, SP return of 9.00 units (POT = -74%), BOB return of 9.50 units (POT = -72%)

Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)

Nil

June 2 results:  No selections, no winners

2012 results:  11 selections, 5.5 units bet, 1 winner, 1 third, SP return of 5.00 units (POT = -9%), BOB return of 5.00 units (POT = -9%)

Overall Results

June 2:  No selections, no winners

2012:  45 selections, 39.5 units bet, 2 winners, 15 seconds/  thirds, SP return of 14.00 units (POT = -65%), BOB return of 14.50 units (POT = -63%)

 

Saturday June 9

Flemington (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)

Race 6 No. 7 Gold Sand

  • An impressive last start winner at Caulfield, defeating the likes of Utah Saints, Pago Rock and Under The Eiffel.
  • Has won six of his past nine starts in the 1400-1600 metre range, including three wins from just four attempts at the 1400 metres.
  • Has eight wins and two placings from 18 career starts to date, which improves to six wins and a placing from just nine starts when third-up or further into a preparation.
  • Drawn wide, but should get into barrier 12 after the emergencies come out and from there will hopefully be able to race midfield with some cover.

 

Rosehill (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 6 No. 7 Alberton Park

  • Was racing in Listed and Group company against the mares last preparation and running very well (fourth in the Breeders’ Classic, second in the Triscay Stakes, third in the Wenona Girl Handicap and sixth in the Group 1 Coolmore Classic), so this grade of race should present no problem.
  • Has an excellent fresh record, with two wins and three seconds from six first-up runs (including a win at Rosehill when last resuming).
  • Has a win and a second from three starts at the track.
  • Is well suited on rain-affected ground, with five wins and nine placings from 19 starts on dead or slow-rated tracks.
  • Drawn nicely in barrier five to get a cheap run behind the speed.

 

Eagle Farm (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)

Race 4 No. 2 Adebisi

  • Forgive his last two efforts where he led to the turn and then faded – they were both Group 1 WFA level races where he was drawn wide, and the drop to a Listed handicap race should be far more suitable.
  • Four starts back in this grade of race, he led and burnt the field off in the straight, defeating Spirit Of Boom by over two lengths. That race was run over 1110 metres, so the 1000-metre scamper should suit his ‘pure speed’ style even more.
  • He is very adept on slow going, with three wins and two placings from six starts on slow tracks to date.
  • From barrier seven he shouldn’t have to use much petrol to cross and lead, leaving plenty in the tank to make him hard to catch in the straight.

Race 7 No. 17 Wealth Princess

  • Her last start effort on a heavy track was respectable when having to come from well back at the turn, and she should be better suited on drier ground this time.
  • Her second placing to Melito in the Group 1 Winter Stakes at WFA level demonstrates that she has the class to win in this grade.
  • Her career record is excellent – seven wins and five placings from 14 starts, including two wins and three placings from six runs over 1400 metres.
  • She receives two kilos from the favourite Sea Siren, which is effectively a four kilo turnaround on how they would meet if this race were run under WFA conditions. Given her 2011 form line through Melito, that is a big advantage.

 

 

Making The Nut is very pleased to have Luxbet on board as a sponsor of the site again in 2012.

Luxbet offer a wide variety of bet types when it comes to thoroughbred racing. In particular, for something as simple as a win-only bet on any given race, there are a number of different odds options that can be taken. For reasons I’ve previously articulated in some detail, their ‘Best of Best’ odds option is my personal favourite. You can certainly do a lot better than the SP when you’re betting with Luxbet.

Thanks to Matt King/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo

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