January 27 and 28 Racing Selections
Tips for this weekend cover the January 27 meeting at Moonee Valley tonight (featuring the return of Black Caviar) and the January 28 meetings at Sandown Lakeside and Canterbury.
Final report card for 2011 and revised rules for 2012 tips
Results for January 21 selections
Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price
Scratched – Lethal Arrow
Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Stardom, Usain Prince, Ollie Vollie
Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)
Canali ($8.50 SP) – unplaced
January 21 results: 1 selection, 1 unit bet, no winners
2012 overall results: 5 selections, 5 units bet, no winners
Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)
Nil
January 14 results: No selections, no winners
2012 overall results: 1 selections, 0.5 units bet, no winners
Overall Results
January 21: 1 selection, 1 unit bet, no winners
2012: 6 selections, 5.5 units bet, no winners
Friday January 27
Moonee Valley (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 5 No. 2 Centexpress
She really does look nicely in with only 53.5 kilos for this race. A last start winner at Sandown Hillside, she has 3 wins and 5 placings from 9 runs over 955 to 1000 metres at the Valley, including a win over Miss Octopussy, a most unlucky 3rdto Rapidement and a 2ndto Obsidian Dragon this preparation. With Ravenous Lass and Over Exposed likely to lead them up, she could get the gun run just behind them and take some holding out.
Saturday January 28
Sandown Lakeside (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 5 No. 7 Cross Street
At his first ever go at the mile 3 weeks back, he ran 3rdto Agrippa and meets that galloper 5.5 kilos better off for being beaten only 2.2 lengths. Yet Agrippa is battling for favouritism while this galloper is almost the outsider of the field – go figure. His 2 previous starts at the track have yielded a pair of 2ndplacings. Importantly, the top 5 horses in this race all have to carry 59.5 kilos or more – a solid impost against a 54-kilo limit – and thus I’m looking further down in the weights for the winner here.
Race 8 No. 11 Rorke’s Drift
Another one I like from a ‘down in the weights’ perspective. His 5 runs this preparation have resulted in 2 wins and 3 placings, while he also has a win and 2 placings from 4 runs over the trip. With 51 kilos (3 kilos below the limit) after the claim and barrier 3 he is well in, while his natural pace over shorter distances may see him roll forward here in a race where the tempo is unclear.
Canterbury (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)
Race 8 No. 3 Bereft
He signalled a return to form last start with a strong late burst to grab second behind Key West at Rosehill and now third up from a spell should go on with the job. He ran second at his only previous start over the distance and has excellent form on rain-affected going – 9 starts for 4 wins and as many placings.
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Thanks to Matt King/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo
