Racing’s Kiss of Death – March 2
This week’s selections cover the March 2 meetings at Flemington (featuring the Group 1 Australian Guineas) and Rosehill (featuring the Group 2 Hobartville Stakes).
Results for February 23 selections
Tips which were either scratched, outside the prescribed track conditions or too short in price
Scratched – Shoot Out
Track outside prescribed range – nil
Odds too short (less than $6 SP) – Now You Know
Tips where the SP was in the $6-$9.50 range (1 unit bets)
Nil
February 23 results: no selections
2013 results: 6 selections, 6 units bet, 1 winner, 1 placing, SP return of 9.00 units, BOB return of 9.00 units
Tips where the SP was in the $10+ range (0.5 unit bets)
Caulfield – Woorim ($18.00 SP) – unplaced
February 23 results: 1 selections, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings
2013 results: 8 selections, 4 units bet, 1 winner, no placings, SP return of 7.50 units, BOB return of 8.40 units.
Overall Results
February 23: 1 selection, 0.5 units bet, no winners, no placings
2013: 14 selections, 10 units bet, 2 winners, 1 placing, SP return of 16.50 units, BOB return of 17.40 units.
Saturday March 2
Flemington (tips based on a track rating range of good 2 to dead 5)
Race 3 No. 2 Glows
- She resumes here and will be looking to add to an excellent first-up record of two wins and a second from three starts.
- She has two wins and two seconds from six starts at the trip, and while her only previous go over 1100 metres at Flemington resulted in a fourth placing, she was beaten only 0.3 lengths in a Listed race.
- She won at Listed level five starts ago, and the SWP nature of this race sees her well in at the weights.
Race 8 No. 1 Ready To Rip
- His best races are invariable when fresh – four wins from five previous first-up runs, compared to two wins and two placings from five second-up runs, and only one win and four placings from 13 starts thereafter.
- 1000 metres is also his ideal journey – three wins and a second from four starts, compared to four wins and five placings from 19 starts at other distances.
- With a Group 3 WFA win and two Group 2 WFA placings (including a close second to Buffering) last preparation, he is the class galloper of the field.
Rosehill (tips based on a track rating range of dead 4 to slow 7)
Race 1 No. 3 Single
- His first-up run at Rosehill appeared too bad to be true and his second-up effort at Warwick Farm to Havana Rey validated that theory. Havana Rey has since won again, so the form line is a strong one.
- He has five wins from seven starts at Rosehill, including a win at Listed level.
- He has two wins from three starts at the track/ distance combination.
- He has four wins from six starts when third-up or further into a preparation (he is third-up in this race).
Race 3 No. 2 Pelicano
- His form this preparation has been excellent. Prior to winning at both of his last two starts (the latter at Listed level in Adelaide), he ran a close second in the Ballarat Cup, splitting King Diamond and Exceptionally. Indeed, his only real ‘flop’ has been a fifth placing in the Werribee Cup, where he simply many not have run out the 2600 metres.
- His overall record stands at seven wins and two placings from 14 races, including two wins from as many starts at this distance.
Race 7 No. 3 Lady’s Angel
- She gave the leaders too great a head start when first-up in the Breeders’ Classic before running on into fourth placing behind her key rivals (Steps In Time and Red Tracer).
- Importantly though, her second-up record (two wins and two placings from four starts) is a vast improvement on her first-up record (one win and no placings from five starts).
- She two wins and a second from five starts at the distance, while her third-placing in last year’s Group 1 Galaxy Handicap shows that she’s up to this grade.
Thanks to Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images AsiaPac for use of the photo