Try Line Picks: Round 11
Cowboys – Line: 5.00 Bet Units: SOO players Thurston, Scott, Tate and Tamou exit the Cowboys side, Luke Lewis and Jennings (from reserve grade) exit the Panthers. The Cowboys have plenty of points in them still with Bowen, Thompson, Payne and Segeyaro rating very well in 2012 – they lack some punch and metres in the middle now but have a strong bench of Thorby, Bolton and Taumalalo that should outplay the Panthers interchange. The Panthers are struggling to keep pace in the yardage – in the last 4 weeks the Cowboys are averaging more than 280m than the Panthers, granted the Cowboys are missing their big men in Scott and Tamou, but the NQ forwards take on an average Panthers pack defensively. Kevin Kingston will play 80 minutes and work tirelessly, however they just do not have enough creativity in the halves if Kingston is just blocking the middle. The Cowboys will play tight early in sets and aim super fringe runners Cooper, Tariq Sims, and Linnet (who looks much bigger in 2012) at the small centres (Tighe and Daniella) of Penrith all night. The ratings state the Cowboys are strong enough across the park, subjective factors considered is the backing up after Monday night for Penrith, where they seemed right up for it – can they get up again in Townsville, a very tough ask against a side that needs to win this time of year – Cowboys to cover the line (-5.0 to -5.5)
Try Line Picks KPIs 2012 – Round Selections Only
- Strike Rate of 54.3% (LW 54.8%)
- Units Profit of +7.31 (LW +10.56 units)
- Net Profit of +4.83% (LW +7.88%)
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